中国军队做好战争准备了吗? 答案是:随时!
Is China’s Military Ready for War?---Foreign Affairs
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But the focus on how the leadership upheaval in the PLA may affect its operational readiness should not obscure a basic fact: Xi may well deem it necessary to fight even if the PLA is not completely prepared. Since the establishment of the People’s Republic in 1949, China has usually gone to war when conditions appeared to be unfavorable.
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Nevertheless, it is useful to remember that Beijing has rarely waited for the right conditions before ordering the PLA into battle. In 1950, for instance, Chinese forces intervened in support of Pyongyang in the Korean War, even though China’s economy and society had been devastated by years of civil war. In 1962, the PLA attacked India, even though China’s most senior military officer had recently been purged for questioning Mao Zedong’s disastrous Great Leap Forward. And in 1979, Beijing dispatched an ill-prepared PLA to Vietnam, where Chinese troops suffered significant losses for limited political gains. Now, as then, Chinese leaders may pursue war even if the domestic economic and political conditions appear unfavorable—and even if the PLA is not ready to fight.
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关注解放军领导层变动可能如何影响其战备状态,不应掩盖一个基本事实:即使解放军尚未做好充分准备,习近平也可能认为有必要开战。自1949年中华人民共和国成立以来,中国通常在形势看似不利时才会发动战争。
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然而,值得记住的是,北京很少等待合适的条件才命令解放军参战。例如,1950年,尽管中国经济和社会已因连年内战而遭到重创,中国军队仍出兵朝鲜,支援平壤。1962年,解放军进攻印度,尽管当时中国最高军官刚刚因质疑毛泽东灾难性的“大跃进”而遭到清洗。1979年,北京派遣准备不足的解放军前往越南,中国军队在那里损失惨重,却只获得了有限的政治利益。现在,与当时一样,即使国内经济和政治条件看似不利,即使解放军尚未做好战斗准备,中国领导人也可能发动战争。
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https://www.foreignaffairs.com/china/chinas-military-ready-war